Boom & Bust

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Earth

What are the facts about boom & bust cycles?

bullsand bearZeit, the Times

A bear and a bull are shown cheek to jowl in this cartoon depicting the legendary relation between market downturns when scarcity dominates symbolized by the bear and the bright up turns in the markets symbolized by the bull. The bear stands for a bust and the bull stands for the boom.

A cyclical behavior pattern: waves of commercial scarcity and glut in American economic history.

Major depressions in US and western history: years elapsed & cycle length between recessions, causes.

 10

recessions:  years elapsed   cycle length  related events

 1

1784 23 35 revolt & war

 2

1819 33 18 Land sales

 3

1837 18 20 2d National Bank

 4

1857 20 16 Railroads

 5

1873 16 19 Credit Mobilier

 6

1892 19  15   resources

 7

1907 15   22 fuel speculation

 8

1929 22 28 financial speculative collapse

 9

1957 28  32 world trade
10
1990 32 10 stock speculation

recent recessions.

Duration

minimal: 10 to 25.1 -- average 7.59 years.

maximum: 35 to 25.3 -- average is 8.07 years time span

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Date: 12 -8-08