Always exploring, seeking out opportunities, experimenting with
novelty, the complex adaptive system tries out increases in complexity
and occasionally discovers gateway events that open up the possibility of whole new structures, including
new kinds of complex adaptive systems. Given enough time, the likelihood
of the evolution of intelligence would seem to be high.
Deception by mimicry is well known
sentinel species
The sentinels warn the others by a special call of approaching
birds that may turn out to be raptors. fake alarm often
permitted the sentinel to grab a succulent morsel
15% = 1/{2(þ)} = 1/ {3.1416 X 2}{10} = 15.708% (p. 259)
Small Steps & Large Changes
In our discussion of gateway events, we listed some examples
of developments in biological evolution that look like enormous jumps,
but we also pointed out that those are rare occurrences at one end
of a whole spectrum of changes of various magnitudes, the small changes
at the other end of the spectrum being much more common.
the phenomenon
of punctuated equilibrium, the comparatively sudden changes
can have several different origins. (260)
1
physiochemical environment that alters selection pressures
significantly
2
Another is the result of drift. in which neutral
mutations, ones that do not disturb the viability of the phenotype
gradually lead to a kind of instability in the genotype.
in this
situation, one mutation or just a few can make a significant difference
to the organism and prepare the way for a cascade of changes in a
variety of other species as well.
Sometimes small changes set off gateway events, often biochemical
in character, that open up whole new realms of life forms.Nothing
is invented out of whole cloth.
Skepticism
"In contrast
to the distinctive selection pressures that characterize the scientific
enterprise (at least science at its best), very different kinds of
selection have also affected the evolution of theoretical ideas on
the same subjects that now form the province of science." (275)
"An example is provided by the appeal to authority, independent
of comparison with nature."
1661 "Nullius in verba" motto of the Royal Society -- "Don't
believe in anyone's words" instead "'experimental philosophy'
which is now called science."
sympathetic magic responds to
"selection pressures quite different from the comparison of predictions
with observation."
"partnership of observation {jaguar} and theory {quark}."
(275)
Adaptive
and maladaptive schemes
"Adaptation
takes place on at least three different levels, and that sometimes
causes confusion in the use of the term. (292)
1) direct
adaptation (thermostat)
no change in the "prevailing schemata"
2) competition among various schemata for primary influence on behavior
change in the prevailing schemata vis a vis other schemata (293)
3) The third level of adaptation is the Darwinian survival of the
fittest.
extinction of the prevailing schemata
"The three levels of adaptation take place, generally speaking,
on different time scales. An existing dominant schema may be translated
into action right away, within days or months. A revolution in the
hierarchy of schemata is generally associated with a longer time scale,
although the culminating events may come swiftly. Extinction of societies
usually take place at still longer intervals of time." (294)
1) translation
(send troops to Bosnia to keep the peace settlement)
convert marshlands from occasional grazing to diked farmland
2) revolution (abolition of serfdom & slavery)
realize marshes' necessity in their native condition as productive
3) extinction (Mayan collapse; 10th century, Anasazi; 12th cent)
siltation of the river Meander ended Ephesus as a viable port
Language: reflects
all three types of adaptive behavioral time frames:
"child's acquisition of language represents a complex adaptive
system in operation"
descent of human languages from the Indo-European root
"biological evolution produced the capacity of human beings(Homo
sapiens sapiens) to communicate by means of languages of the modern
type." (294)
"When considering the evolution of grammar, it is important to
take the various levels of adaptation into account."
"In studying evolution of any complex adaptive system, it is
essential to try to pick apart these three strands: the basic rules,
frozen accidents, and the selection of what is adaptive. And of course
the basic rules may themselves look like frozen accidents when viewed
on a cosmic scale of space and time." (295)
"What are some of the conditions that permit maladaptive schemata
to survive?"
External
Selection Pressures:
(296)
1) reinforcement
of the authoritative position of key individuals
(Lord
Kelvin vis a vis Darwin)
2) maintenance
of social cohesion
3) imposition of a structure of false order on disconnected facts
can provide a degree of comfort
4) illusion of understanding and mastery
5) "the selfish scheme" -- "a pattern is its own
reward"
"success in describing nature" is what is adaptive in science
success in engineering "applied science" --"controlling
nature for some human purpose"
"Nevertheless, such selection pressures play critical roles in
the evolution of cultural DNA." (296)
"In the
domain of biological evolution, where selection normally takes place
at the phenotypic level, there may be,
exceptional cases where
it acts directly on the germ cells: 'a truly selfish gene' promoting.
for sperm carrying it, the successful fertilization of an egg, even
though the gene may not be helpful, and could even be harmful , to
the developing organism."
(297)
The role played by influential individuals, or dominant characters
"the character
and ideas -- of individuals -- are critical to the success or failure
of the enterprise."
TQM -- "strictures
on the internal pressures exerted by managers"
are people rewarded
for agreement with managerial whims or what is good for the corporation
because it satisfies and retains customer loyalty?
menageries acting as "selfish genes" causing selection of
favorites -
- "quis custodiet ipsos custodiet" problem
peter principle of promoting adaptive schemata until they reach the
level at which they are no longer promotable."
"the breeding
of animals and plants for human use."
Darwin
repeatedly referred to them [plant and animal breeding] ... under
the rubric of artificial selection with which natural
selection can be compared and contrasted.
page 300.
Windows of Maturation
Time scales for the persistence of maladaptive schemata:
Machines
"Computers
can function as complex adaptive systems."
"So far,
most such designs or programs have depended on imitating a simplified
picture of how some living complex adaptive system works."
digital (home PC) "bits (0 or 1) that is supposed to indicate
if the 'neuron' is firing or not."
Analog (hooked
up with patch cords) machines where the initial computers, large and
slow.
"neural
net, which can be implemented either with software or hardware."
(307)
Feedback as a sort of circuitry or wetware:
positive or "+"
excite the other, or subsequent response.
negative or "–" if it inhibits the second or subsequent response.
(308)
"Supervision
allows fitness to be defined, in terms of the amount of difference
between the correct pronunciation of a text and the pronunciation
resulting from the schema."
"As usual
when fitness is well defined, he learning process consists of exploring
valleys on a fitness landscape. If the fitness is also steadily increasing,
so that the height keeps decreasing, then the problem of getting stuck
in a shallow depression when there are deep pits nearby crops up as
always and can be ameliorated by introducing moisture"
"Such random
changes in the schema resemble those proposed to jog the mind out
of a rut when one is seeking a creative idea. As usual there is an
optimum level of noise (interference)."
Genetic Algorithms
as a Complex Adaptive System
Diversity
Biological and
cultural evolution
He argues that
"higher levels of complexity " lead to the
the generation
of new types" of organisms and organizations.
"We have examined how simple rules, including an orderly initial
condition, together with the operation of chance, have produced the
wonderful complexities of the universe."
(329)
"Over long periods of time, they distill out of their experience
remarkable amounts of information, characterized by both complexity
and depth."
"it is crazy
to squander in a few decades much of the rich biological diversity
"that has
evolved over billions of years."
(338)
Sustainability
inseparable from
concern about the future of the biosphere as a whole
linked
with virtually every aspect of the human future." (345)
"However, there is also a growing need for specialization to
be supplemented by integration." (345)
Afterword
"all of
the alternative coarse grained histories form a branching tree, or
'garden of forking paths,' called a quasi classical domain. "
(368)
evolution of complex adaptive systems such as biota, human culture
& organizations
"Thus the process of adaptation of the schemata leads only approximately
to 'adaptive' results for the systems. 'Maladaptive' schemata can
occur as well." (369)
"The nearly 4 billion years of biological evolution on Earth
have distilled, by trial and error, a gigantic amount of information
about different ways for organisms to live, in the presence of one
another, in the biosphere. " (374)
"Both biological and cultural diversity are now severely threatened
and working for their preservation is a critical task." (374-75)
"universalizing, scientific, secular culture,"
& homogecene
ecological communities
"The conservation
of nature, safeguarding as much biological diversity as possible,
is urgently required
.the need to accomplish a set of interlinked
transitions to a more sustainable situation during the course of the
next century."
"but it is worthwhile to construct models of the future
"
(375)
"the main function of the book is to stimulate thought and discussion."
(367)